Village

Conviction is built, not bought.

Village is the AI data team that creative investors use to build alternative data, scale agentic research, and monitor every signal.

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EPICENTER

01 · Brainstorm

Discover proxies hiding in plain sight

Deploy agents to search for datasets, analyze tech stacks, reverse-engineer APIs, and read disclosures for signals that no one else is looking at.

How fast is TSMC’s Arizona fab ramping?

Hiring

Glassdoor job posts
Indeed listings
TSMC careers page

Import records

ImportYeti manifests
Panjiva shipments
Census trade API

Satellite imagery

Earth Search
Planetary Computer

Permits & utilities

Maricopa permits
Arizona utility filings

Reported financials

SEC EDGAR filings
Earnings calls

02 · Collect

Create alternative data without a data team

Turn any source into a data pipeline using our building blocks and infrastructure, designed so you never worry about engineering decisions or maintenance.

Scrape anything from any point in time

$389.00
$412.50 price

Keep data flowing when sources shift

Successful run Jun 13, 4:00 AM
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Successful run Jun 14, 4:06 AM

Connect to essential datasets and services

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03 · Analyze

Understand every signal and predict what’s next

Create dashboards with agents trained to analyze data rigorously and show you what matters. Backtest ideas and get alerted when your thesis breaks.

Coinbase trading volume and transaction revenue

Coinbase’s Exchange API publishes daily prices and amounts traded for BTC, ETH, LTC, and BCH, which we convert into quarterly estimated trading volume.

Estimated trading volume
Reported transaction revenue
Q3 ’26
Coinbase quarterly estimated trading volume and reported transaction revenueA dual-axis line chart shows the raw quarterly values for estimated dollar trading volume across Coinbase BTC, ETH, LTC, and BCH markets and Coinbase reported transaction revenue, from 2021Q1 through 2026Q2. Estimated trading volume is base volume multiplied by mean daily open, high, low, and close price. Dashed lines end at red points showing projected 2026Q3 trading volume and the revenue prediction from the year-over-year growth model using activity through Aug 2.010020001,0002,000Estimated trading volume ($B)Reported transaction revenue ($M)Q1 ’21Q1 ’22Q1 ’23Q1 ’24Q1 ’25Q1 ’26Q3 ’26Q3 ’26 prediction: $48.0B estimated trading volumeQ3 ’26 prediction: $359M transaction revenue

Coinbase revenue growth model and Q3 ’26 prediction

Linear regression of reported transaction revenue YoY change on estimated trading volume YoY change, fit on Q1 2022–Q2 2025 and tested on Q3 2025–Q2 2026. Because trading volume is available at quarter end, the model can estimate revenue 30–44 days before Coinbase reports earnings.

Train
Test
Q3 ’26
Coinbase year-over-year revenue growth model trained through 2025Q2, tested from 2025Q3 through 2026Q2, with a 2026Q3 predictionGray squares are the 14 quarters used to fit a relationship between year-over-year changes in estimated trading volume and reported transaction revenue. The model was frozen after 2025Q2. Blue squares are the 4 held-out results, and each vertical connector runs from the fixed model to reported revenue growth. The red 2026Q3 point uses activity through Aug 2.-50%0%+100%+200%-50%0%+50%+100%Trading volume YoY changeTransaction revenue YoY changeQ1 ’22 training data: -32.3% estimated trading volume and -34.2% reported transaction revenueQ2 ’22 training data: -49.1% estimated trading volume and -66.1% reported transaction revenueQ3 ’22 training data: -12.3% estimated trading volume and -66.4% reported transaction revenueQ4 ’22 training data: -39.6% estimated trading volume and -85.9% reported transaction revenueQ1 ’23 training data: -35.5% estimated trading volume and -63.0% reported transaction revenueQ2 ’23 training data: -48.6% estimated trading volume and -50.1% reported transaction revenueQ3 ’23 training data: -58.9% estimated trading volume and -21.1% reported transaction revenueQ4 ’23 training data: -31.0% estimated trading volume and +64.3% reported transaction revenueQ1 ’24 training data: +70.0% estimated trading volume and +187.4% reported transaction revenueQ2 ’24 training data: +88.9% estimated trading volume and +138.7% reported transaction revenueQ3 ’24 training data: +113.5% estimated trading volume and +98.4% reported transaction revenueQ4 ’24 training data: +134.8% estimated trading volume and +194.0% reported transaction revenueQ1 ’25 training data: +6.3% estimated trading volume and +17.2% reported transaction revenueQ2 ’25 training data: -2.8% estimated trading volume and -2.1% reported transaction revenueQ3 ’26 prediction as of Aug 2: -60.5% estimated trading volume, -65.7% transaction revenue, or $359MQ3 ’26Q3 ’25 held-out test: +73.2% estimated revenue growth, +82.8% reported revenue growth, 9.5 percentage-point errorQ3 ’25Q4 ’25 held-out test: -10.3% estimated revenue growth, -36.8% reported revenue growth, 26.5 percentage-point errorQ4 ’25Q1 ’26 held-out test: -17.0% estimated revenue growth, -40.1% reported revenue growth, 23.1 percentage-point errorQ1 ’26Q2 ’26 held-out test: -12.2% estimated revenue growth, -21.6% reported revenue growth, 9.4 percentage-point errorQ2 ’26

04 · Imagine

Bring us your most ambitious ideas

Our team works with your analysts to design agentic research workflows and create bespoke tools for the questions that matter most.

Deployed Village Megaprojects data-center tracker

Building conviction takes a Village.

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